Azara Blog: Climate change disaster by 2026

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Date published: 2005/01/30

The BBC says:

Dangerous levels of climate change could be reached in just over 20 years if nothing is done to stop global warming, a WWF study has warned.

At current rates, the earth will be 2C above pre-industrial levels some time between 2026 and 2060, says the report by Dr Mark New of Oxford University.

Temperatures in the Arctic could rise by three times this amount, it says.

It would lead to a loss of summer sea ice and tundra vegetation, with polar bears and other animals dying out.

Dr New said: "A very robust result from global climate models is that warming due to greenhouse gases will reduce the amount of snow and ice cover in the Arctic, which will in turn produce an additional warming as more solar radiation is absorbed by the ground and the ocean."

Ice and snow reflect more solar radiation back to space than unfrozen surfaces.

According to the WWF, the perennial ice, or summer sea ice, is currently melting at a rate of 9.6% per decade and will disappear completely by the end of the century if this continues.

The sky is falling. The BBC claimed only last week that the world would end in ten years. So now it is twenty years. Well, this WWF study only says "between 2026 and 2060", so the 2026 is just the headline scare figure. And needless to say, the WWF is a typical special interest pressure group and so one has to treat any of their reports with caution.

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