Azara Blog: More UK population projections

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Date published: 2007/11/27

The BBC says:

The UK population could almost double over the coming 75 years, according to official government projections.

The previously unpublished figures suggest the British population could hit almost 110m in 2081, if immigration fertility and longevity rates are high.

The figures are higher than those released just a month ago by the Office for National Statistics.

In October, the ONS projected the population could go from around 60m today to as high as 77m in 2051.

In fact, although the BBC tries to play up this story as somehow significant, the new projections are not that different from the previous ones, it is just that the ONS is looking at more extreme possibilities with this projection. So the doubling is extremely unlikely to happen. And of course any projection 75 years into the future is pretty much ignorable. And if you listen to the doomsayers (chief cheerleader, the BBC), then the world is going to end long before 2081, so the UK (and world) population will crash long before then.

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